{"id":30115,"date":"2016-12-10T09:55:05","date_gmt":"2016-12-10T02:55:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/anvilaw.com\/vi\/?p=30115"},"modified":"2022-06-27T09:56:13","modified_gmt":"2022-06-27T02:56:13","slug":"1-151-no-xau-dang-o-muc-dang-ngai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/anvilaw.com\/vi\/1-151-no-xau-dang-o-muc-dang-ngai\/","title":{"rendered":"1.151. N\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1ng ng\u1ea1i"},"content":{"rendered":"<strong>(<\/strong><strong>BizLIVE<\/strong><strong>)<\/strong><strong> &#8211;\u00a0<\/strong> <strong>Ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c t\u1ecda \u0111\u00e0m &#8220;L\u00e0m \u0103n g\u00ec n\u0103m 2017?&#8221; lu\u1eadt s\u01b0 Tr\u01b0\u01a1ng Thanh \u0110\u1ee9c cho r\u1eb1ng: &#8220;N\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7n nay th\u00ec \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t x\u1ea5u. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m, n\u1ee3 trong 12 th\u00e1ng hay 36 th\u00e1ng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1ng ng\u1ea1i. Nguy hi\u1ec3m th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 n\u1eb1m \u1edf nh\u1eefng kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1eeb 3 \u0111\u1ebfn 5 n\u0103m&#8221;.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-30116 img-fluid img-fluid\" src=\"https:\/\/anvilaw.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/51-1-450x235.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"450\" height=\"235\" srcset=\"https:\/\/anvilaw.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/51-1-450x235.png 450w, https:\/\/anvilaw.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/51-1.png 527w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 450px) 100vw, 450px\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>T\u1ecda \u0111\u00e0m &#8220;L\u00e0m \u0103n g\u00ec n\u0103m 2017?&#8221; do BizLIVE t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c t\u1ecda \u0111\u00e0m\u00a0<strong>\u201cL\u00e0m \u0103n g\u00ec n\u0103m 2017?&#8221;<\/strong>\u00a0do BizLIVE t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c, TS. L\u00ea \u0110\u0103ng Doanh, nguy\u00ean Vi\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edfng Vi\u1ec7n Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd Kinh t\u1ebf Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng (CIEM) cho bi\u1ebft: &#8220;N\u0103m 2016 l\u00e0 n\u0103m c\u00f3 b\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u1eb7t v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1ec1 nhi\u1ec1u m\u1eb7t, khi c\u00f3 r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n d\u1ed3n d\u1eadp \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 hi\u1ec7n nay \u00a0nh\u01b0: V\u1ee5 vi\u1ec7c Formosa, l\u0169 l\u1ee5t\u2026<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;T\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn tr\u00ean l\u00e0 th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 nh\u01b0ng Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a ra nhi\u1ec1u quy\u1ebft s\u00e1ch l\u1edbn trong n\u0103m nay nh\u01b0 100.000 doanh nghi\u1ec7p m\u1edbi th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u quy\u1ebft s\u00e1ch m\u1edbi li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c t\u00e1i c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u&#8221;, TS L\u00ea \u0110\u0103ng Doanh nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0GS.TSKH Nguy\u1ec5n M\u1ea1i, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i Doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i (VAFIE)<\/em><\/p>\n<p>C\u0169ng trong cu\u1ed9c t\u1ecda \u0111\u00e0m\u00a0<strong>\u201cL\u00e0m \u0103n g\u00ec n\u0103m 2017?&#8221;,\u00a0<\/strong>\u00a0GS.TSKH Nguy\u1ec5n M\u1ea1i, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i Doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i (VAFIE) nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh: &#8220;\u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 Vi\u1ec7t Nam 2016 c\u00f3 l\u1ebd n\u00ean \u0111\u1eb7t trong khu v\u1ef1c c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ASEAN, \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u00fang mu\u1ed1n r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u tuy nhi\u00ean so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ASEAN, ch\u00fang ta c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c nh\u01b0ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang ta t\u00edch c\u1ef1c. Khi \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1eb7t trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng th\u1ea5y nh\u1eefng c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;N\u1ed9i t\u1ea1i ngo\u00e0i\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/bizlive.vn\/tags\/no-xau.html\">n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u<\/a>, n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng n\u00ean c\u00f3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 v\u1ec1 b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i c\u1ee7a doanh nghi\u1ec7p trong n\u0103m 2016 v\u00e0 Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ch\u01b0a l\u00e0m g\u00ec cho b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i n\u00e0y. T\u00f4i t\u00e1n th\u00e0nh v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch linh ho\u1ea1t, nh\u01b0ng ph\u1ea3i n\u00f3i nh\u1eefng doanh nghi\u1ec7p\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/bizlive.vn\/tags\/xuat-nhap-khau.html\">xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u<\/a>\u00a0n\u0103m 2016, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u sang khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng euro, yen Nh\u1eadt b\u1ecb thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i gh\u00ea g\u1edbm do\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/bizlive.vn\/tags\/gia-usd.html\">USD<\/a>\u00a0l\u00ean gi\u00e1, Vi\u1ec7t Nam gi\u1eef gi\u00e1, nhi\u1ec1u doanh nghi\u1ec7p thua l\u1ed7&#8221;, GS. Nguy\u1ec5n M\u1ea1i cho bi\u1ebft.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;N\u1ebfu ch\u00fang ta kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 v\u1eeba l\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1, v\u1eeba l\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 l\u1ee3i t\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cho m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 doanh nghi\u1ec7p, th\u00ec trong n\u0103m 2017 khi t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD v\u00e0 EUR c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn 1:1, c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd g\u1eb7p r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi doanh nghi\u1ec7p si\u00eau nh\u1ecf, vi\u1ec7c t\u00edch l\u0169y l\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh y\u1ebfu gi\u00fap h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n th\u00e0nh doanh nghi\u1ec7p nh\u1ecf trong 1 \u0111\u1ebfn 2 n\u0103m. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng&#8221;, GS Nguy\u1ec5n M\u1ea1i cho bi\u1ebft th\u00eam.<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><em> Nguy\u1ec5n Tr\u00ed Hi\u1ebfu<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, TS. Nguy\u1ec5n Tr\u00ed Hi\u1ebfu, Chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf l\u1ea1i cho bi\u1ebft&#8221;T\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng l\u1ea1c quan nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 di\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc. T\u00f4i th\u1ea5y gi\u1eefa n\u0103m 2016, ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 \u0111\u00e3 cho r\u1eb1ng ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c 6,7% l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t kh\u00f3. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o cho th\u1ea5y ch\u00fang ta ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee9c 6%. T\u00f4i th\u1eed ph\u00e2n t\u00edch 4 nh\u00f3m nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1i sao kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Hai nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n t\u1eeb b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng th\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u01b0 m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng, bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu. Ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Vi\u1ec7c r\u00fat kh\u1ecfi Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u1ee7a kh\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb nhi\u1ec1u l\u00fd do nh\u01b0 Brexit, Donald Trump.<\/p>\n<p>Hai nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n n\u1ed9i t\u1ea1i l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng, ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 m\u1edbi c\u0169ng c\u1ea7n th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ec3 s\u1eafp x\u1ebfp m\u1ecdi th\u1ee9. C\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc thua l\u1ed7 c\u0169ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;N\u0103m 2017, t\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng l\u1ea1c quan kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng cao h\u01a1n n\u0103m nay, Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd \u0111i v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n tr\u00ec tr\u1ec7 n\u1ebfu 4 nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft. 2 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i th\u00ec kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. Ch\u1ec9 hy v\u1ecdng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u00ed h\u1eadu t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n, kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01a1n nh\u01b0ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c th\u00ec d\u1ec5 x\u1ea3y ra h\u01a1n t\u00edch c\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n<p>V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 v\u1ec1 chi ph\u00ed c\u00f4ng, n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i nh\u01b0ng ch\u00fang ta n\u00f3i nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m r\u1ed3i m\u00e0 ch\u01b0a th\u1ea5y c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n&#8221;, TS. Nguy\u1ec5n Tr\u00ed Hi\u1ebfu nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0\u00a0Lu\u1eadt s\u01b0 Tr\u01b0\u01a1ng Thanh \u0110\u1ee9c,\u00a0<\/em><em>Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c C\u00f4ng ty Lu\u1eadt ANVI<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u0110\u1ed3ng quan \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u1edbi TS. Nguy\u1ec5n Tr\u00ed Hi\u1ebfu, Lu\u1eadt s\u01b0 Tr\u01b0\u01a1ng Thanh \u0110\u1ee9c,\u00a0<\/em><em>Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c C\u00f4ng ty Lu\u1eadt ANVI\u00a0<\/em><em>cho bi\u1ebft: &#8220;N\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7n nay th\u00ec \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t x\u1ea5u. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m, n\u1ee3 trong 12 th\u00e1ng hay 36 th\u00e1ng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1ng ng\u1ea1i. Nguy hi\u1ec3m th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 n\u1eb1m \u1edf nh\u1eefng kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 trong th\u1eddi gian tr\u00ean 3 \u0111\u1ebfn 5 n\u0103m&#8221;.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>&#8220;\u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, c\u1ed5 ph\u1ea7n h\u00f3a hi\u1ec7n nay c\u0169ng m\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 \u201cb\u00ecnh m\u1edbi r\u01b0\u1ee3u c\u0169\u201d. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n h\u00f3a nh\u01b0ng chi ph\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a doanh nghi\u1ec7p nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1eabn r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn. Hi\u1ebfn ph\u00e1p \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ed1t ch\u1eb7t kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i. C\u1ed5 ph\u1ea7n h\u00f3a \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a doanh nghi\u1ec7p nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc trong khi th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u0111ang l\u00e0m ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i&#8221;, Lu\u1eadt s\u01b0 Tr\u01b0\u01a1ng Thanh \u0110\u1ee9c cho bi\u1ebft th\u00eam.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/bizlive.vn\/author\/nguyen-tham-44.html\"><strong>NGUY\u1ec4N TH\u1eaeM<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2013<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>BizLive (Th\u1eddi s\u1ef1) 10-12-2016:<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/bizlive.vn\/kinh-te-dau-tu\/no-xau-dang-o-muc-dang-ngai-2277540.html\"><em>http:\/\/bizlive.vn\/kinh-te-dau-tu\/no-xau-dang-o-muc-dang-ngai-2277540.html<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>(136\/918)<\/em>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(BizLIVE) &#8211;\u00a0 Ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c t\u1ecda \u0111\u00e0m &#8220;L\u00e0m \u0103n g\u00ec n\u0103m 2017?&#8221; lu\u1eadt s\u01b0 Tr\u01b0\u01a1ng Thanh \u0110\u1ee9c cho r\u1eb1ng: &#8220;N\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7n nay th\u00ec \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t x\u1ea5u. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m, n\u1ee3 trong 12 th\u00e1ng hay 36 th\u00e1ng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1ng ng\u1ea1i. Nguy hi\u1ec3m th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 n\u1eb1m \u1edf [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":30116,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[17,26],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30115","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-binh-luan-gop-y","category-legal-media"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>1.151. 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