{"id":30142,"date":"2016-12-12T10:09:58","date_gmt":"2016-12-12T03:09:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/anvilaw.com\/vi\/?p=30142"},"modified":"2022-06-27T10:11:56","modified_gmt":"2022-06-27T03:11:56","slug":"1-155-kinh-te-2016-nhieu-diem-nghen-nhung-van-co-tia-sang","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/anvilaw.com\/vi\/1-155-kinh-te-2016-nhieu-diem-nghen-nhung-van-co-tia-sang\/","title":{"rendered":"1.155. Kinh t\u1ebf 2016: Nhi\u1ec1u \u201c\u0111i\u1ec3m ngh\u1ebdn\u201d nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn c\u00f3 \u201ctia s\u00e1ng\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"(TBKD) – <\/strong>N\u0103m 2016, r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng gi\u1ea3m, nh\u01b0: XK gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u gi\u1ea3m 28 – 29%, gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb th\u00ec t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p t\u1eeb g\u1ea7n 10% (2015) gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 7,4%. Theo \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a Ts. Nguy\u1ec5n \u0110\u1ee9c Ki\u00ean – Ph\u00f3 Ch\u1ee7 nhi\u1ec7m \u1ee6y ban kinh t\u1ebf Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i, x\u00e9t v\u1ec1 chi\u1ec1u r\u1ed9ng s\u00e2u th\u00ec v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nguy\u00ean \u0111\u00f3 b\u1ed9n b\u1ec1.<\/strong><\/p>\n

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T\u1ea1i t\u1ecda \u0111\u00e0m \u201cL\u00e0m \u0103n g\u00ec n\u0103m 2017\u201d, h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia \u0111\u1ec1u nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh, 2016 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t n\u0103m \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t, b\u1edfi t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi th\u00ec ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p, trong khi c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u0169ng r\u1ea5t kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i c\u0169ng m\u1edf ra r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u1ed5 ph\u1ea7n h\u00f3a (CPH), t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n cho c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n.<\/p>\n

N\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p m\u1ea5t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u t\u1ea1i t\u1ecda \u0111\u00e0m, Ts. Nguy\u1ec5n \u0110\u1ee9c Ki\u00ean cho hay: \u201c\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 n\u0103m m\u00e0 ch\u00fang ta v\u1eeba thay \u0111\u1ed5i b\u1ed9 m\u00e1y l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc. Trong khi c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u1edf khu v\u1ef1c v\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0o n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf kinh kh\u1ee7ng nh\u1ea5t, thi\u00ean nhi\u00ean th\u1eed th\u00e1ch ch\u00fang ta nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t\u201d.<\/p>\n

T\u1eeb Formosa, l\u0169 l\u1ee5t, h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n, x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp m\u1eb7n \u0111ang \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p. L\u1ea5y v\u00ed d\u1ee5 t\u1eeb t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu (B\u0110KH) t\u1edbi l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p, \u00f4ng Ki\u00ean n\u00eau ra hai nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t, B\u0110KH ch\u00fang ta kh\u00f4ng t\u1ef1 g\u00e2y ra, nh\u01b0ng t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng ng\u1eadp m\u1eb7n, c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng m\u00e0 n\u00f3i, m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n nguy\u00ean do \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c ch\u00fang ta x\u1eed l\u00fd ch\u01b0a t\u1ed1t c\u00e1c quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb. C\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u01b0\u1ee3ng ngu\u1ed3n s\u00f4ng Mekong ng\u0103n n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1ea1i n\u00ean \u00e1p l\u1ef1c \u1edf c\u1eeda s\u00f4ng nh\u1ecf, ng\u1eadp m\u1eb7n l\u00e0 t\u1ea5t y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ee9 hai, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft, \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean. N\u00f3i l\u00e0 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n CNH-H\u0110H, nh\u01b0ng b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i nhi\u1ec1u.<\/p>\n

N\u0103m 2016, n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p 17 – 18% GDP c\u1ee7a n\u0103m<\/em><\/p>\n

T\u1eeb nh\u1eefng nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n tr\u00ean, \u00f4ng Ki\u00ean \u0111\u00fac r\u00fat: \u201cKhi nh\u00ecn l\u1ea1i c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, ch\u01b0a bao gi\u1edd 63% l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p m\u1ea5t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 mong manh \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ebf\u201d.<\/p>\n

C\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft, \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean n\u00ean trong 6 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m, ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p l\u00e0 \u00e2m 0,1%, nh\u01b0ng t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 7, m\u01b0a thu\u1eadn gi\u00f3 h\u00f2a, n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i 0,68%.<\/p>\n

N\u0103m 2016, n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p 17 – 18% GDP c\u1ee7a n\u0103m. \u201cV\u1edbi \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf m\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 v\u1eady th\u00ec ph\u1ea3i th\u1ea5y c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u vi\u1ec7c ng\u1ed5n ngang\u201d, v\u1ecb l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb \u1ee6y ban Kinh t\u1ebf Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i \u0111\u00fac r\u00fat.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c XK, \u00f4ng Ki\u00ean cho hay, n\u00f3i l\u00e0 t\u0103ng nh\u01b0ng ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u1edf kh\u1ed1i d\u1ec7t may. N\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p th\u00ec th\u1ee7y s\u1ea3n t\u0103ng 1,8 – 1,9%, \u0111\u1ed3 g\u1ed7 th\u00ec h\u01a1n. Nh\u01b0ng n\u00f3i \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3 g\u1ed7, th\u00ec ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p m\u00e0 nh\u1eadp v\u1ec1, ch\u1ebf t\u00e1c, th\u1ee7 c\u00f4ng th\u00f4i, g\u1eafn li\u1ec1n v\u1edbi ph\u00e1 r\u1eebng.<\/p>\n

\u201cCu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, n\u0103m 2016, khi m\u00e0 XK gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u gi\u1ea3m 28 – 29% gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb, th\u00ec t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p so v\u1edbi n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i t\u1eeb g\u1ea7n 10% xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 7,4%. N\u00f3i chi\u1ec1u r\u1ed9ng s\u00e2u th\u00ec v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nguy\u00ean \u0111\u00f3 b\u1ed9n b\u1ec1\u201d, \u00f4ng Ki\u00ean k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn.<\/p>\n

V\u1eabn c\u00f2n \u0111i\u1ec3m s\u00e1ng<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0110\u1eb7t n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam b\u00ean c\u1ea1nh c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf kh\u00e1c trong khu v\u1ef1c, Gs.Ts. Nguy\u1ec5n M\u1ea1i – Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i DN \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i (VAFIE), \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1: \u201cSo v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ASEAN, ch\u00fang ta c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c, nh\u01b0ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang ta kh\u00e1 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c\u201d.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng t\u00ecnh quan \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y, Ts. V\u00f5 Tr\u00ed Th\u00e0nh – nguy\u00ean Ph\u00f3 Vi\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edfng Vi\u1ec7n Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd kinh t\u1ebf Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng (CIEM), cho bi\u1ebft t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n \u0111ang c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u \u0111i\u1ec3m ngh\u1ebdn nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng \u0111ang c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng tia s\u00e1ng. Vi\u1ec7t Nam ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ee7 t\u1ef1 tin, \u0111\u1ee7 linh ho\u1ea1t trong c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch. Ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u01b0u \u00fd \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00ednh t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u00e1c gi\u1eefa b\u1ed9 m\u00e1y nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 DN, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1edf h\u1eefu nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u01b0u \u00fd.<\/p>\n

Nh\u00ecn c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a 2016, \u00f4ng Nguy\u1ec5n T\u00fa Anh – Ph\u00f3 V\u1ee5 tr\u01b0\u1edfng V\u1ee5 Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 (Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc) cho r\u1eb1ng trong khi khu v\u1ef1c n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 khai kho\u00e1ng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh th\u00ec khu v\u1ef1c d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 v\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, v\u1ed1n l\u00e0 2 \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i.<\/p>\n

\u201cC\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e3 \u0111i d\u1ea7n v\u00e0o \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh. T\u1eeb 2012 c\u00f3 th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t m\u1ed9t ch\u00fat v\u00e0 n\u0103m nay \u0111\u00e3 th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0\u201d, \u00f4ng T\u00fa Anh nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n

Theo c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia, n\u0103m 2016 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i m\u1edf ra r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi CPH, t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n cho c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n. \u0110\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong n\u0103m nay ng\u00e0nh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 b\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u01b0\u1ee3t b\u1eadc. Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed v\u00e0 C\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 th\u00f4ng tin, ch\u1ec9 t\u00ednh ri\u00eang tr\u00ean \u0111\u1ecba b\u00e0n H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i, t\u00ednh ri\u00eang 9 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m, th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 c\u00f3 1.317 website th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o, \u0111\u0103ng k\u00fd ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1edbi, g\u1ed3m 1.258 website b\u00e1n h\u00e0ng v\u00e0 59 s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed.<\/p>\n

N\u0103m 2015, doanh thu b\u00e1n l\u1ebb tr\u1ef1c tuy\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ea1t 1,16 t\u1ef7 USD, chi\u1ebfm 4% t\u1ed5ng doanh thu b\u00e1n l\u1ebb to\u00e0n th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1. Trong 9 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2016, doanh thu b\u00e1n l\u1ebb tr\u1ef1c tuy\u1ebfn tr\u00ean \u0111\u1ecba b\u00e0n kho\u1ea3ng 1,04 t\u1ef7 USD, doanh thu c\u1ea3 n\u0103m \u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ea1t 1,4 t\u1ef7 USD, chi\u1ebfm 4,5% t\u1ed5ng doanh thu b\u00e1n l\u1ebb to\u00e0n th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ng\u00e0nh giao th\u00f4ng v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i, hi\u1ec7n nay c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i h\u00ecnh v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i nh\u01b0: \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ec3n, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eaft ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n. Ngo\u00e0i ra, n\u0103m 2016 c\u0169ng ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i h\u00ecnh d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 du l\u1ecbch bi\u1ec3n, du l\u1ecbch sinh th\u00e1i do s\u1edf h\u1eefu m\u1ed9t b\u1edd bi\u1ec3n d\u00e0i, \u0111\u1eb9p v\u00e0 gi\u00e0u t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean.<\/p>\n

\u201cD\u00f9 \u0111\u00fang d\u00f9 sai th\u00ec cu\u1ed9c s\u1ed1ng v\u1eabn ch\u1ea3y, c\u00f3 th\u1eafng c\u00f3 thua, c\u1ea7n nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn s\u1ef1 th\u1eadt. C\u00f3 ng\u01b0\u1eddi kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e0ng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n c\u00e0ng c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i nh\u01b0ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf b\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00fac n\u00e0o c\u0169ng c\u00f3 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i\u201d, Lu\u1eadt s\u01b0 Tr\u01b0\u01a1ng Thanh \u0110\u1ee9c b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i cho kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam 2016.<\/em><\/p>\n

Thanh Hoa<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2013<\/p>\n

Th\u1eddi b\u00e1o Kinh doanh (Kinh t\u1ebf) 12-12-2016:<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

http:\/\/thoibaokinhdoanh.vn\/Thi-truong-17\/Kinh-te-2016-Nhieu-%E2%80%9Cdiem-nghen%E2%80%9D-nhung-van-co-%E2%80%9Ctia-sang%E2%80%9D-28464.html<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

(59\/1.126)<\/em>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(TBKD) – N\u0103m 2016, r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng gi\u1ea3m, nh\u01b0: XK gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u gi\u1ea3m 28 – 29%, gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb th\u00ec t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p t\u1eeb g\u1ea7n 10% (2015) gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 7,4%. Theo \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a Ts. Nguy\u1ec5n \u0110\u1ee9c Ki\u00ean – Ph\u00f3 Ch\u1ee7 nhi\u1ec7m \u1ee6y ban kinh […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":30144,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[17,26],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30142","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-binh-luan-gop-y","category-legal-media"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n1.155. 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