{"id":30170,"date":"2016-12-19T10:20:32","date_gmt":"2016-12-19T03:20:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/anvilaw.com\/vi\/?p=30170"},"modified":"2022-06-27T10:22:16","modified_gmt":"2022-06-27T03:22:16","slug":"1-159-no-xau-van-la-tro-ngai-lon-cho-nen-kinh-te","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/anvilaw.com\/vi\/1-159-no-xau-van-la-tro-ngai-lon-cho-nen-kinh-te\/","title":{"rendered":"1.159. N\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u v\u1eabn l\u00e0 tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i l\u1edbn cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf"},"content":{"rendered":"(TBKD) – <\/strong>T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u v\u00e0 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m v\u1eabn l\u00e0 tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i l\u1edbn cho s\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf hi\u1ec7n nay, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 khi gi\u00e1 v\u1ed1n t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam cao h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c trong khu v\u1ef1c, d\u00f9 \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 v\u1ed1n c\u00f4ng hay v\u1ed1n t\u01b0.<\/strong><\/p>\n

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Gi\u1edbi chuy\u00ean gia nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u s\u1ebd c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong n\u0103m 2017, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t nh\u01b0 t\u00ednh thanh kho\u1ea3n, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1, m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng v\u00e0 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi\u2026<\/p>\n

Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng: y\u1ebfu + n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ts. V\u0169 Th\u00e0nh T\u1ef1 Anh, Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u, Ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh Gi\u1ea3ng d\u1ea1y Kinh t\u1ebf Fulbright cho r\u1eb1ng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t trong h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam hi\u1ec7n nay \u0111ang n\u1eb1m \u1edf v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u v\u00e0 khu v\u1ef1c c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng cho bi\u1ebft con s\u1ed1 n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n nay l\u00e0 d\u01b0\u1edbi 2,5%. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 con s\u1ed1 r\u1ea5t \u0111\u1eb9p! Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u1ed9ng ng\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 chuy\u1ec3n sang c\u00f4ng ty Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd T\u00e0i s\u1ea3n Vi\u1ec7t Nam (VAMC) m\u00e0 ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft, th\u00ec cho \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y, VAMC \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kho\u1ea3ng 14% trong t\u1ed5ng s\u1ed1 n\u1ee3.<\/p>\n

N\u1ebfu c\u1ed9ng ng\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i, con s\u1ed1 n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u trong h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng v\u00e0o kho\u1ea3ng \u0111\u1ed9 7,6%. C\u00f2n nh\u1eefng kho\u1ea3n gi\u1ea5u n\u1ee3 n\u1eefa, ch\u00fang ta kh\u00f4ng bi\u1ebft, nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 tr\u00ean 7,6%.<\/p>\n

K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t cho th\u1ea5y, t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m 31\/8\/2016, to\u00e0n h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng ch\u1ec9 x\u1eed l\u00fd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c 548.500 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u, trong \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 do c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng t\u1ef1 x\u1eed l\u00fd (chi\u1ebfm 57,2%).<\/p>\n

C\u00f2n l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 b\u00e1n n\u1ee3, bao g\u1ed3m b\u00e1n cho VAMC v\u00e0 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c, c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n kh\u00e1c (chi\u1ebfm 42,8%). T\u1ed5ng s\u1ed1 n\u1ee3 m\u00e0 VAMC \u0111\u00e3 gom v\u1ec1 t\u1eeb c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng l\u00ean t\u1edbi tr\u00ean 250.000 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng, nh\u01b0ng m\u1edbi x\u1eed l\u00fd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kho\u1ea3ng 14%.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 v\u1ed1n t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam cao h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c trong khu v\u1ef1c<\/em><\/p>\n

Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng d\u00f9 \u0111\u00e3 chuy\u1ec3n sang VAMC, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn t\u1ed3n \u0111\u1ecdng \u1edf \u0111\u00f3, do t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 thu h\u1ed3i n\u1ee3 so v\u1edbi t\u1ed5ng d\u01b0 n\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e3 mua c\u00f2n h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf. Nh\u01b0 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Sebastian Eckardt, Chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (WB), c\u00e1c m\u00f3n n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1eed l\u00fd tri\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ec3 v\u00e0 \u0111ang ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng. V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 l\u00e0 trong khi n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u c\u0169 m\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o, th\u00ec n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u m\u1edbi ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ph\u00e1t sinh.<\/p>\n

Theo Ts. V\u0169 Th\u00e0nh T\u1ef1 Anh, nh\u00ecn v\u00e0o su\u1ea5t sinh l\u1eddi tr\u00ean t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n (ROA) b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n, Vi\u1ec7t Nam thu\u1ed9c lo\u1ea1i th\u1ea5p g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc trong khu v\u1ef1c. \u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 con s\u1ed1 n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u v\u00e0 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m \u1edf Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1eabn l\u00e0 hai v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u00f3 m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 h\u1eefu c\u01a1 v\u1edbi nhau, c\u00f2n \u0111ang k\u00e9o l\u00f9i n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111i xu\u1ed1ng. Theo v\u1ecb Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u1ee7a Fulbright, n\u1ebfu nh\u00ecn v\u00e0o l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t huy \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00ec \u1edf Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd th\u1ea5y cao h\u01a1n r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi khu v\u1ef1c (ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n so v\u1edbi Th\u00e1i Lan, Trung Qu\u1ed1c, Malaysia, Philippines).<\/p>\n

T\u1ee9c l\u00e0 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang huy \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u1ec1n g\u1eedi v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trong khu v\u1ef1c r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u. V\u00e0 khi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t huy \u0111\u1ed9ng cao nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf th\u00ec doanh nghi\u1ec7p (DN) Vi\u1ec7t v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111i vay t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

N\u1ed7i lo gi\u00e1 v\u1ed1n<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tr\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, trong v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 v\u1ed1n vay d\u01b0\u1edbi g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn t\u1eeb ph\u00eda DN, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 DN nh\u1ecf v\u00e0 v\u1eeba, lu\u1eadt s\u01b0 Tr\u01b0\u01a1ng Thanh \u0110\u1ee9c,\u00a0<\/em>Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c C\u00f4ng ty Lu\u1eadt ANVI<\/em>, cho r\u1eb1ng sau m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng t\u1eadp trung nhi\u1ec1u v\u00e0o DN l\u1edbn v\u00e0 si\u00eau l\u1edbn, \u00edt quan t\u00e2m \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c DN nh\u1ecf v\u00e0 v\u1eeba th\u00ec nay \u0111\u00e3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i quan \u0111i\u1ec3m, h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ec1u coi DN nh\u1ecf v\u00e0 v\u1eeba l\u00e0 l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/em><\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, theo lu\u1eadt s\u01b0 \u0110\u1ee9c, tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, c\u00e1c DN nh\u1ecf v\u00e0 v\u1eeba th\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f3 ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn v\u1ed1n vay t\u1eeb ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng v\u00ec n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf, ph\u01b0\u01a1ng \u00e1n, d\u1ef1 \u00e1n kinh doanh, vay v\u1ed1n x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng kh\u00f4ng b\u00e0i b\u1ea3n.<\/em><\/p>\n

Ch\u01b0a k\u1ec3, h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng s\u1ed5 s\u00e1ch t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh k\u1ebf to\u00e1n thi\u1ebfu minh b\u1ea1ch, ti\u1ec1m l\u1ef1c t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh y\u1ebfu, t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m \u00edt, d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro, t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng\u2026 V\u00e0 c\u0169ng do \u0111\u00f3, n\u1ebfu DN nh\u1ecf v\u00e0 v\u1eeba \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c vay v\u1ed1n th\u00ec c\u0169ng th\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecbu l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n kh\u00e1c m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n, ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd.<\/em><\/p>\n

Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea t\u1eeb Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc cho th\u1ea5y, \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 11\/2016, huy \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1ed1n t\u0103ng 15,28% so v\u1edbi cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2015, trong khi t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng t\u0103ng 14,57%. T\u00edn d\u1ee5ng \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea9y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP nh\u1eb1m \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau n\u0103m nay \u1edf m\u1ee9c 6,3 \u2013 6,5%.<\/p>\n

Nhu c\u1ea7u b\u1eaft bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ea9y ti\u1ec1n ra, m\u1ed9t m\u1eb7t n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u bu\u1ed9c c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng ph\u1ea3i th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng, t\u00ednh to\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea7u ra sao cho c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i nh\u1ea5t. M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ea3m th\u00eam l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, DN v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a mu\u1ed1n vay v\u00ec chi ph\u00ed t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u0111ang \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn bi\u00ean l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn.<\/p>\n

B\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 v\u1ec1 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng ng\u00e0nh ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u0103m 2017 c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf Fitch Ratings c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y c\u0169ng l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf l\u1edbn v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam hi\u1ec7n nay.<\/p>\n

Vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh k\u00e9o d\u00e0i. N\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ch\u00eca kh\u00f3a t\u00edch c\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n

Ts. V\u0169 Th\u00e0nh T\u1ef1 Anh nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 d\u1eebng l\u1ea1i \u1edf khu v\u1ef1c DN, ngay c\u1ea3 Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 khi \u0111i vay c\u0169ng v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n. N\u00f3i t\u00f3m l\u1ea1i, gi\u00e1 v\u1ed1n t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam cao h\u01a1n c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c trong khu v\u1ef1c d\u00f9 v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea5y l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng hay l\u00e0 t\u01b0. R\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, x\u00e9t v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t trung h\u1ea1n, c\u00f3 hai th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 quan tr\u1ecdng hi\u1ec7n nay cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch v\u00e0 n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ebf Vinh<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2013<\/p>\n

Th\u1eddi b\u00e1o Kinh doanh (L\u0103ng k\u00ednh) 19-12-2016:<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

http:\/\/thoibaokinhdoanh.vn\/Lang-kinh-8\/No-xau-van-la-tro-ngai-lon-cho-nen-kinh-te-28603.html<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

(191\/1.131)<\/em>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(TBKD) – T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u v\u00e0 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m v\u1eabn l\u00e0 tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i l\u1edbn cho s\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf hi\u1ec7n nay, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 khi gi\u00e1 v\u1ed1n t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam cao h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c trong khu v\u1ef1c, d\u00f9 \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 v\u1ed1n c\u00f4ng hay v\u1ed1n […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":30172,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[17,26],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30170","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-binh-luan-gop-y","category-legal-media"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n1.159. N\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u v\u1eabn l\u00e0 tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i l\u1edbn cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf - ANVI Law Firm<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/anvilaw.com\/vi\/1-159-no-xau-van-la-tro-ngai-lon-cho-nen-kinh-te\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"[:vi]1.159. 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