{"id":31786,"date":"2012-03-20T10:23:21","date_gmt":"2012-03-20T03:23:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/anvilaw.com\/vi\/?p=31786"},"modified":"2022-07-05T10:26:58","modified_gmt":"2022-07-05T03:26:58","slug":"286-kinh-te-giang-co-bo-tran-lai-suat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/anvilaw.com\/vi\/286-kinh-te-giang-co-bo-tran-lai-suat\/","title":{"rendered":"286. Kinh t\u1ebf Gi\u1eb1ng co b\u1ecf tr\u1ea7n l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t"},"content":{"rendered":"(TN) – Sau g\u1ea7n 3 n\u0103m \u0111\u1eb7t tr\u1ea7n l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t (LS) huy \u0111\u1ed9ng, \u0111\u1ebfn nay m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 chuy\u00ean gia cho r\u1eb1ng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ec3 d\u1ee1 b\u1ecf \u0111\u00e3 t\u1edbi, c\u1ea7n tr\u1ea3 LS l\u1ea1i cho c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i\u1ec1u ti\u1ebft.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/p>\n

Nhi\u1ec1u chuy\u00ean gia cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ebfn l\u00fac b\u1ecf tr\u1ea7n l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t –\u00a0\u1ea2nh: Ng\u1ecdc Th\u1eafng<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, kh\u00f4ng \u00edt \u00fd ki\u1ebfn kh\u00e1c cho r\u1eb1ng c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i gi\u1eef tr\u1ea7n LS \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00f2ng nguy c\u01a1 t\u00e1i l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, v\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c ch\u1ea1y \u0111ua LS gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i (NHTM).<\/p>\n

B\u1ecf tr\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ec3 \u201cch\u1eefa\u201d thanh kho\u1ea3n<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n
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NHNN kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111ang nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u v\u00e0 s\u1ebd b\u1ecf tr\u1ea7n LS v\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh. Hi\u1ec7n nh\u1eefng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a NHNN \u0111ang th\u1ef1c thi kh\u00e1 b\u00e0i b\u1ea3n, t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1eb7t h\u1ea1n m\u1ee9c, c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac l\u1ea1i h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng…<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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\u0110\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi cho r\u1eb1ng c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i b\u1ecf tr\u1ea7n LS – t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y – TS L\u00ea Xu\u00e2n Ngh\u0129a, th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00eau ra m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 l\u00fd do. Th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t, trong 2012, Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc (NHNN) \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e2n lo\u1ea1i c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng (NH) \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1eb7t h\u1ea1n m\u1ee9c t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng n\u00ean nh\u1eefng NH kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n thanh kho\u1ea3n – th\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng ch\u1ea1y \u0111ua LS – \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb kh\u1ed1ng ch\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ee9 hai, kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu v\u1ec1 thanh kho\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a NH ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ec3 cho th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng x\u1eed l\u00fd, theo h\u01b0\u1edbng s\u1ebd c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 NH t\u0103ng LS huy \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u00ean, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd t\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng cho thanh kho\u1ea3n. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e1 \u0111\u00e1ng ng\u1ea1i, b\u1edfi hi\u1ec7n kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u1ea5p th\u1ee5 v\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a DN k\u00e9m, c\u00e1c DN kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 nhu c\u1ea7u qu\u00e1 l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec3 vay m\u01b0\u1ee3n ti\u1ec1n v\u1edbi LS cao.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
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<\/td>\nTrong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh hi\u1ec7n nay, t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi t\u00f4i \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 tr\u1ea7n LS huy \u0111\u1ed9ng, ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 n\u00f3 m\u1edbi gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c LS ti\u1ec1n g\u1eedi \u1edf m\u1ee9c h\u1ee3p l\u00fd nh\u1eb1m gi\u1ea3m LS cho vay<\/em><\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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TS V\u0169 \u0110\u00ecnh \u00c1nh<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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T\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3, chuy\u00ean gia n\u00e0y d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n, th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i ho\u1eb7c trong v\u00f2ng 1 th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecf tr\u1ea7n LS. Khi \u0111\u00f3, t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ed9c l\u1ed9 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch minh b\u1ea1ch. \u201cNhu c\u1ea7u ti\u1ec1n g\u1eedi, ti\u1ec1n vay v\u00e0 l\u00f2ng tin c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2u, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a NHNN t\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2u s\u1ebd b\u1ed9c l\u1ed9 r\u00f5. R\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi b\u1ecf tr\u1ea7n, LS c\u00f2n xu\u1ed1ng th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n hi\u1ec7n nay\u201d, \u00f4ng Ngh\u0129a nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf – TS V\u0169 \u0110\u00ecnh \u00c1nh l\u1ea1i cho r\u1eb1ng, s\u1edf d\u0129 ph\u1ea3i \u201c\u0111\u1ebb\u201d ra tr\u1ea7n LS v\u00ec th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1edbi nay NHNN ch\u01b0a bi\u1ebft l\u1ea5y c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 g\u00ec \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7. \u1ede c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c, LS c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n, LS t\u00e1i c\u1ea5p v\u1ed1n, t\u00e1i chi\u1ebft kh\u1ea5u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 can thi\u1ec7p v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea1o ra hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 l\u1edbn, nh\u01b0ng \u1edf VN kh\u00f4ng d\u00f9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5, bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p n\u00e0y do l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t cao, v\u0129 m\u00f4 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n… \u201cLS c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1eb7t ra 10 n\u0103m nay nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 t\u00e1c d\u1ee5ng g\u00ec, v\u00ec v\u1eady ph\u1ea3i s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p h\u00e0nh ch\u00ednh \u0111\u1eb7t tr\u1ea7n LS \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh. N\u1ebfu b\u1ecf tr\u1ea7n th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 t\u00f4i r\u1ea5t lo ng\u1ea1i, NHNN d\u00f9ng c\u00e1i g\u00ec \u0111\u1ec3 can thi\u1ec7p v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh hi\u1ec7n nay, t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi t\u00f4i \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 tr\u1ea7n LS huy \u0111\u1ed9ng, ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 n\u00f3 m\u1edbi gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c LS ti\u1ec1n g\u1eedi \u1edf m\u1ee9c h\u1ee3p l\u00fd nh\u1eb1m gi\u1ea3m LS cho vay\u201d, TS \u00c1nh n\u00f3i.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng quan \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u1edbi \u00f4ng \u00c1nh, TS V\u0169 Vi\u1ebft Ngo\u1ea1n – Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch \u1ee6y ban Gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh qu\u1ed1c gia (GSTC) – chia s\u1ebb, m\u1ecdi bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p h\u00e0nh ch\u00ednh \u0111\u1ec1u l\u00e0 phi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 \u1eaft \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ea1i h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 kh\u00f4ng mong mu\u1ed1n n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c thi m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch nghi\u00eam t\u00fac. Hi\u1ec7n nay, \u1ee6y ban GSTC mong mu\u1ed1n x\u00f3a tr\u1ea7n, tuy nhi\u00ean do th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n, thanh kho\u1ea3n h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ch\u01b0a \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00ean c\u1ea7n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c duy tr\u00ec th\u00eam m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi gian. TS Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u1ecb M\u00f9i c\u0169ng ki\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb, ch\u01b0a n\u00ean b\u1ecf b\u1edfi nguy c\u01a1 t\u00e1i l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t cao v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1i di\u1ec5n. Ngo\u00e0i ra, d\u00f9 c\u00f3 b\u1ecf th\u00ec m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u1ea3m LS cho vay ch\u01b0a ch\u1eafc \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c, v\u00ec c\u00e1c NH c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ea1y \u0111ua, \u0111\u1ea9y LS l\u00ean qu\u00e1 cao.<\/p>\n

NHNN th\u1eeba c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec3 thay tr\u1ea7n<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n
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<\/td>\nNhu c\u1ea7u ti\u1ec1n g\u1eedi, ti\u1ec1n vay v\u00e0 l\u00f2ng tin c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2u, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a NHNN t\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2u s\u1ebd b\u1ed9c l\u1ed9 r\u00f5. R\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi b\u1ecf tr\u1ea7n, LS c\u00f2n xu\u1ed1ng th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n hi\u1ec7n nay<\/em><\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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\u00a0TS L\u00ea Xu\u00e2n Ngh\u0129a, th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c gia<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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Lu\u1eadt s\u01b0 Tr\u01b0\u01a1ng Thanh \u0110\u1ee9c, Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c C\u00f4ng ty Lu\u1eadt ANVI th\u00ec \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 b\u1ecf tr\u1ea7n LS. \u00d4ng cho r\u1eb1ng NHNN kh\u00f4ng thi\u1ebfu c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec3 can thi\u1ec7p v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 t\u00e1i chi\u1ebft kh\u1ea5u, t\u00e1i c\u1ea5p v\u1ed1n, nghi\u1ec7p v\u1ee5 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edf… <\/em><\/p>\n

Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, tr\u1ea7n LS khi \u0111\u1eb7t ra v\u1eabn b\u1ecb x\u00e9 r\u00e0o b\u1eb1ng nhi\u1ec1u h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c tinh vi, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 t\u00e1c d\u1ee5ng, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a. Ngo\u00e0i ra, NHNN \u0111\u1eb7t tr\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ec3 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd, s\u1ee3 LS t\u0103ng cao nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u1ebfu l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t l\u00ean th\u00ec LS l\u00ean, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t xu\u1ed1ng LS xu\u1ed1ng. \u201cV\u1eady th\u00ec t\u1ea1i sao kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec3 cho th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh, ch\u1ee9 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1eb7t tr\u1ea7n LS huy \u0111\u1ed9ng 13% c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u00ec c\u00f2n l\u00e0m cho c\u00e1c NHTM c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng h\u01a1n\u201d, lu\u1eadt s\u01b0 \u0110\u1ee9c lo ng\u1ea1i. <\/em><\/p>\n

TS Ngh\u0129a ph\u00e2n t\u00edch s\u00e2u s\u1eafc h\u01a1n khi nh\u00ecn l\u1ea1i qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh VN t\u1ef1 do h\u00f3a LS ti\u1ec1n g\u1eedi t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1998 \u0111\u1ebfn 2009, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh r\u1ea5t t\u1ed1t. B\u1ed5 sung \u00fd ki\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a lu\u1eadt s\u01b0 \u0110\u1ee9c, theo TS Ngh\u0129a, ngo\u00e0i nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 v\u1ec1 b\u1ed9 LS ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t, NHNN c\u00f2n c\u00f3 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u201cbom t\u1ea5n\u201d l\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef b\u1eaft bu\u1ed9c ch\u01b0a d\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ebfn. Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c 5%, so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c c\u00f2n r\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p (Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 20,5%, M\u1ef9 10%…). TS Ngh\u0129a l\u01b0u \u00fd, n\u1ebfu s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 n\u00e0y, n\u00ean h\u1ecdc kinh nghi\u1ec7m c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, t\u1ee9c NH nh\u1ecf d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef th\u1ea5p, NH to th\u00ec d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef cao.<\/p>\n

C\u00f3 \u00fd ki\u1ebfn cho r\u1eb1ng, n\u1ebfu b\u1ecf tr\u1ea7n ra, LS huy \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1ecdt l\u00ean 17 – 18%, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed tr\u00ean 20%, theo \u00f4ng Ngh\u0129a \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y trong th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn, t\u1ef1a nh\u01b0 con l\u1eafc khi bu\u00f4ng ra kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ee9ng im ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c m\u00e0 s\u1ebd dao \u0111\u1ed9ng r\u1ed3i \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh d\u1ea7n d\u1ea7n.<\/p>\n

Ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn c\u00e1c quan \u0111i\u1ec3m \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 b\u1ecf tr\u1ea7n l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec1u cho r\u1eb1ng NHNN c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i ho\u00e0n ch\u1ec9nh cho t\u1ed1t c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 can thi\u1ec7p, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n. Ngo\u00e0i ra, ph\u1ea3i l\u1eadp l\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1\u00a0 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng li\u00ean NH, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean thi\u1ebfu tin t\u01b0\u1edfng nhau, b\u1eaft ch\u1eb9t v\u00e0 bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n th\u1ebf ch\u1ea5p m\u1edbi cho vay, b\u1edfi n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng vi\u1ec7c b\u1ecf tr\u1ea7n LS s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3.<\/p>\n

Anh V\u0169<\/strong><\/p>\n

—————————————<\/p>\n

Thanh Ni\u00ean\u00a0 20-3-2012:<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

http:\/\/www.thanhnien.com.vn\/pages\/20120319\/giang-co-bo-tran-lai-suat.aspx<\/a><\/em>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(TN) – Sau g\u1ea7n 3 n\u0103m \u0111\u1eb7t tr\u1ea7n l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t (LS) huy \u0111\u1ed9ng, \u0111\u1ebfn nay m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 chuy\u00ean gia cho r\u1eb1ng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ec3 d\u1ee1 b\u1ecf \u0111\u00e3 t\u1edbi, c\u1ea7n tr\u1ea3 LS l\u1ea1i cho c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i\u1ec1u ti\u1ebft. Nhi\u1ec1u chuy\u00ean gia cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ebfn l\u00fac b\u1ecf tr\u1ea7n l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t –\u00a0\u1ea2nh: Ng\u1ecdc Th\u1eafng Tuy […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":31787,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[17,26],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31786","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-binh-luan-gop-y","category-legal-media"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n286. 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